Rationale and Objectives
Meaningfully measuring physician outcomes and resource utilization requires appropriate
patient risk adjustment. We aimed to assess Medicare patient complexity by physician
specialty and to further identify radiologist characteristics associated with higher
patient complexity.
Materials and Methods
The average beneficiary Hierarchical Condition Category (HCC) risk scores (Medicare's
preferred measure of clinical complexity) were identified for all physicians using
2014 Medicare claims data. HCC scores were compared among physician specialties and
further stratified for radiologists based on a range of characteristics. Univariable
and multivariable analyses were performed.
Results
Of 549,194 physicians across 54 specialties, the mean HCC risk score was 1.62 ± 0.75.
Of the 54 specialties, interventional radiology ranked 4th (2.60 ± 1.29), nuclear
medicine ranked 16th (1.87 ± 0.45), and diagnostic radiology ranked 21st (1.75 ± 0.61).
Among 31,175 radiologists, risk scores were higher (P < 0.001) for those with teaching (2.03 ± 0.74) vs nonteaching affiliations (1.72 ± 0.61),
practice size ≥100 (1.94 ± 0.70) vs ≤9 (1.59 ± 0.79) members, urban (1.79 ± 0.69)
vs rural (1.67 ± 0.59) practices, and subspecialized (1.85 ± 0.81) vs generalized
(1.68 ± 0.42) practice patterns. Among noninterventional radiology subspecialties,
patient complexity was highest for cardiothoracic (2.09 ± 0.57) and lowest for breast
(1.08 ± 0.32) imagers. At multivariable analysis, a teaching affiliation was the strongest
independent predictor of patient complexity for both interventional (β = +0.23, P = 0.005) and noninterventional radiologists (β = +0.21, P < 0.001).
Conclusions
Radiologists on average serve more clinically complex Medicare patients than most
physicians nationally. However, patient complexity varies considerably among radiologists
and is particularly high for those with teaching affiliations and interventional radiologists.
With patient complexity increasingly recognized as a central predictor of clinical
outcomes and resource utilization, ongoing insights into complexity measures may assist
radiologists navigating emerging risk-based payment models.
Key Words
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Article info
Publication history
Published online: November 03, 2017
Accepted:
September 11,
2017
Received in revised form:
September 9,
2017
Received:
June 7,
2017
Footnotes
Funding sources: Authors Rosenkrantz and Duszak are supported by research grants from the Harvey L. Neiman Health Policy Institute.
Identification
Copyright
© 2018 The Association of University Radiologists. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.