Rationale and Objectives
To develop and validate a computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics nomogram for the
preoperative prediction of tumor deposits (TDs) and clinical outcomes in patients
with colon cancer.
Materials and Methods
This retrospective study included 383 consecutive patients with colon cancer from
two centers. Radiomics features were extracted from portal venous phase CT images.
Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was applied for feature
selection and radiomics signature construction. The multivariate logistic regression
model was used to establish a radiomics nomogram. The performance of the nomogram
was assessed by using receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves
and decision curve analysis. Kaplan‒Meier survival analysis was used to assess the
difference of the overall survival (OS) in the TDs-positive and TDs-negative groups.
Results
The radiomics signature was composed of 11 TDs status related features. The AUCs of
the radiomics model in the training cohort, internal validation and external validation
cohorts were 0.82, 0.78 and 0.78, respectively. The radiomics nomogram that incorporated
the radiomics signature and clinical independent predictors (CT-N, CEA and CA199)
showed good calibration and discrimination with AUCs of 0.88, 0.80 and 0.81 in the
training cohort, internal validation and external validation cohorts, respectively.
The radiomics nomogram-predicted high-risk groups had a worse OS than the low-risk
groups (p < 0.001). The radiomics nomogram-predicted TDs was an independent preoperative predictor
of OS.
Conclusion
The radiomics nomogram based on CT radiomics features and clinical independent predictors
could effectively predict the preoperative TDs status and OS of colon cancer.
Important Findings
CT-based radiomics nomogram may be applied in the individual preoperative prediction
of TDs status in colon cancer. Additionally, there was a significant difference in
OS between the high-risk and low-risk groups defined by the radiomics nomogram, in
which patients with high-risk TDs had a significantly worse OS, compared with those
with low-risk TDs.
Key Words
Abbreviations:
TDs (tumor deposits), CRC (colorectal cancer), CT (computed tomography), CEA (carcinoembryonic antigen), CA199 (carbohydrate antigen 199), LDH (lactate dehydrogenase), A/G (albumin to globulin ratio), CT-T (CT-reported T stage), CT-N (CT-reported lymph node status), ROI (regions of interest), VOI (volume of interest), 2D (Two-dimensional), 3D (Three-dimensional), ICC (interclass correlation coefficient), ROC (receiver operating characteristic), AUC (area under the ROC curve), DCA (decision curve analysis), LASSO (Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator), mRMR (Maximal redundancy minimal relevance), GLCM (gray level cooccurrence matrix), OS (overall survival)To read this article in full you will need to make a payment
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Article info
Publication history
Published online: December 23, 2022
Accepted:
November 7,
2022
Received in revised form:
October 16,
2022
Received:
July 26,
2022
Publication stage
In Press Corrected ProofIdentification
Copyright
© 2022 The Association of University Radiologists. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.