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Original Investigation|Articles in Press

CT Radiomics-Based Nomogram for Predicting the Lateral Neck Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Prospective Multicenter Study

  • Author Footnotes
    1 Luchao Dong and Xiao Han contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Luchao Dong
    Footnotes
    1 Luchao Dong and Xiao Han contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Affiliations
    Second Clinical Medicine College, Binzhou Medical University, Yantai, Shandong 264003, People’s Republic of China (L.D., F.S.)

    Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., X.S.)

    Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., N.M., X.S.)
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  • Author Footnotes
    1 Luchao Dong and Xiao Han contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Xiao Han
    Footnotes
    1 Luchao Dong and Xiao Han contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Affiliations
    Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., X.S.)

    Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., N.M., X.S.)
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  • Pengyi Yu
    Affiliations
    Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., X.S.)

    Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., N.M., X.S.)
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  • Wenbin Zhang
    Affiliations
    Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., X.S.)

    Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., N.M., X.S.)
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  • Cai Wang
    Affiliations
    Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., X.S.)

    Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., N.M., X.S.)

    School of Clinical Medicine, Weifang Medical University, Weifang, Shandong 261042, People’s Republic of China (C.W.)
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  • Qi Sun
    Affiliations
    Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., X.S.)

    Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., N.M., X.S.)
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  • Fei Song
    Affiliations
    Second Clinical Medicine College, Binzhou Medical University, Yantai, Shandong 264003, People’s Republic of China (L.D., F.S.)

    Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., X.S.)

    Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., N.M., X.S.)
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  • Haicheng Zhang
    Affiliations
    Big Data and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (H.Z., N.M., X.S.)

    Department of Radiology, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (H.Z., N.M.)
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  • Guibin Zheng
    Affiliations
    Department of Thyroid Surgery, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (G.Z.)
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  • Author Footnotes
    2 Xicheng Song and Ning Mao have contributed equally to the work.
    Ning Mao
    Footnotes
    2 Xicheng Song and Ning Mao have contributed equally to the work.
    Affiliations
    Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., N.M., X.S.)

    Big Data and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (H.Z., N.M., X.S.)

    Department of Radiology, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (H.Z., N.M.)
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  • Author Footnotes
    2 Xicheng Song and Ning Mao have contributed equally to the work.
    Xicheng Song
    Correspondence
    Address correspondence to: Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China.
    Footnotes
    2 Xicheng Song and Ning Mao have contributed equally to the work.
    Affiliations
    Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., X.S.)

    Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (L.D., X.H., P.Y., W.Z., C.W., Q.S., F.S., N.M., X.S.)

    Big Data and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital, Qingdao University, Yantai, Shandong 264000, People’s Republic of China (H.Z., N.M., X.S.)
    Search for articles by this author
  • Author Footnotes
    1 Luchao Dong and Xiao Han contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    2 Xicheng Song and Ning Mao have contributed equally to the work.

      Rationale and Objectives

      This study is based on multicenter cohorts and aims to utilize computed tomography (CT) images to construct a radiomics nomogram for predicting the lateral neck lymph node (LNLN) metastasis in the papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and further explore the biological basis under its prediction.

      Materials and Methods

      In the multicenter study, 1213 lymph nodes from 409 patients with PTC who underwent CT examinations and received open surgery and lateral neck dissection were included. A prospective test cohort was used in validating the model. Radiomics features were extracted from the CT images of each patient’s LNLNs. Selectkbest, maximum relevance and minimum redundancy and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm were used in reducing the dimensionality of radiomics features in the training cohort. Then, a radiomics signature (Rad-score) was calculated as the sum of each feature multiplied by the nonzero coefficient from LASSO. A nomogram was generated using the clinical risk factors of the patients and Rad-score. The nomograms’ performance was analyzed in terms of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, confusion matrix, receiver operating characteristic curves, and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs). The clinical usefulness of the nomogram was evaluated by decision curve analysis. Moreover, three radiologists with different working experiences and nomogram were compared to one another. Whole transcriptomics sequencing was performed in 14 tumor samples; the correlation of biological functions and high and low LNLN samples predicted by the nomogram was further investigated.

      Results

      A total of 29 radiomics features were used in constructing the Rad-score. Rad-score and clinical risk factors (age, tumor diameter, location and number of suspected tumors) compose the nomogram. The nomogram exhibited good discrimination performance of the nomogram for predicting LNLN metastasis in the training cohort (AUC, 0.866), internal test cohort (0.845), external test cohort (0.725), and prospective test cohort (0.808) and showed diagnostic capability comparable to senior radiologists, significantly outperforming junior radiologists (p < 0.05). Functional enrichment analysis suggested that the nomogram can reflect the ribosome-related structures of cytoplasmic translation in patients with PTC.

      Conclusion

      Our radiomics nomogram provides a noninvasive method that incorporates radiomics features and clinical risk factors for predicting LNLN metastasis in patients with PTC.

      Keywords

      Abbreviations:

      CT (computed tomography), LNLN (lateral neck lymph node), PTC (papillary thyroid carcinoma), LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator), AUC (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve), US (ultrasound), ATA (American Thyroid Association), FNAB (fine-needle aspiration biopsy), ROI (region of interest), TSH (thyroid stimulating hormone), VOI (volumes of interest), ICC (intraclass correlation coefficient), MRMR (minimum redundancy maximum relevance), VIF (variance inflation factor), DCA (decision curve analysis), GO (gene ontology), KEGG (Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes), CI (confidence interval)
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